Testing for Volatility and Market Efficiency of Uganda Securities Exchange
Abstract
This study presents empirical evidence of volatility and market efficiency of Uganda Securities Exchange. Results indicate that the Uganda Securities Exchange exhibits a weak-form efficiency based on Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH), Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and the serial correlation tests. This may be attributed to few listed companies and less liquidity hence the need to implement the over the counter facility, two tier market, more listing and promotion of collective investment schemes. Firms and individuals should be encouraged to buy or sell securities outside their face values, as a means of encouraging financial activities in the economy.
Keywords
Full Text:
PDFReferences
Birakwate F. G. (2008), “Measuring Stock-Market Efficiency: Evidence from Uganda Securities Exchange”, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Bodicha, H.H. (2003). “Forecasting of market share prices for selected companies at the Nairobi Stock Exchange based on econometric models”, Egerton University, Naroibi Kenya.
Campbell J.Y., Lo A.W. and MacKinlay A.C. (1997), “The Econometrics of Financial Markets”,Princeton University Press, Princeton.
Dickey, D and Fuller, W. (1981), “Likelihood Ratio statistics for Autoregressive time Series with a unit Root” Econometrica, Vol.49, pp.1057-72
Fama E. F (1991), “Efficient Capital Markets II”, Journal of Finance, 5: 1575-1617, Blackwell Publishing for the American Finance Association.
Fama E.F. and French K.R (1988), “Dividend Yields and Expected stock returns”. Journal of Financial Economics 22: 3-25. University of Chicago, Chicago, USA.
Fama E. F (1970), “Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work”. Journal of Finance, 25: 383-417.
Fama E. F. (1965), “The Behaviour of Stock Market Prices”, Journal of Business, Vol. 38, No. 1, pp. 34-105.
Kvedaras V. and Basdevant O., (2002), “Testing the Efficiency of Emerging Markets: the Case of the Baltic States”.
Ntim, Collins, Opong, K.K. , Danbolt, J. , and Dewotor, F.S. (2011), “Testing the weak-form efficiency in African stock markets”. Managerial Finance, 37 (3). pp. 195-218.ISSN 0307-4358 (doi:10.1108/03074351111113289)
Nyong, MO 2005, ‘Predictability and Volatility of Stock Returns in three Emerging Markets: Nigeria, South Africa and Brazil’. Nigerian Journal of Economics and Development Matters. 2 (1): 12-29.
Todea, A., (2005), “The informational efficiency of the stock market – empirical studies on the Romanian market,” Casa Cărţii de Ştiinţă, Cluj-Napoca, pg. 101-108. Uganda Securities Exchange, (2012),”USE Annual Report”, Kampala , Uganda.
Uganda Securities Exchange, (2010),”USE Annual Report”, Kampala , Uganda.
Uganda Securities Exchange, (2007),”USE Annual Report”, Kampala , Uganda.
Worthington, A. C. and Higgs, H.,(2006), “Efficiency in the Australian stock market, 1875-2006: A note on extreme long-run random walk behavior”, School of Accounting & Finance, University of Wollongong, Working Paper 5.
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Copyright© 2015 Journal of Research in Business, Economics and Management. All rights reserved.
ISSN 2395-2210
For any help/support contact us at editorial@scitecresearch.com, jrbem@scitecresearch.com.